Wednesday, 11 September 2013

BCapp's Recap of 2013 Predictions

Two years ago I got 3/10 for predictions.  Ouch.  Lets see how I did last season:

  • Eberle will not be top 10 scoring, but he will be top 30 (ie 11-30th)
  • Eberle was 41st.  Couldn't even make the top 30.  Should have just predicted him falling back to earth. WRONG
  • Ovechkin will outscore both Sedins
  • Ovechkin 56 points, D Sedin 40, H Sedin 45. RIGHT
  • Vokoun will be within 0.003 of Fleury in save percentage
  • Vokoun had a 0.919 to Fleury's 0.916.  Not only were these within the predicted range, but Vokoun's was better. RIGHT
  • Nash will score less goals and/or points than Kessel (at least 1 of the two)
  • Kessel's 52 points were way more than Nash's 42 points.  However his 20 goals were one less than Nash's 21.  Fortunately I said he would be better in at least 1. RIGHT
  • Edmonton will not break the top 10 in the West
  • Edmonton was 12th.  Guess it wasn't their year. RIGHT
  • Calgary will be the worst Canadian team by points
  • Mtl 63, Van 59, Tor 57, Ott 56, Wpg 51, Edm 45, Clg 42.  Hehe and Calgary only got worse. RIGHT
  • Duchenne will outscore Landeskog (by points)
  • Duchene's (excuse the typo from last year) 43 points were way more than Landeskog's 17.  However Landeskog got injured you may say.  Duchene's 0.91 PPG was also way better than Landeskog's 0.47 PPG.  I like Landeskog a fair bit, but the stud of the two is Duchene. RIGHT
  • John Tavares will outscore Seguin in points and goals
  • Tavares 28 G and 47 points were both higher than Seguin's 16 G and 32 points.  RIGHT
  • One of Toronto's goalies will have a better save percentage than Pavelec
  • Pavelec continued his career of mediocre at best hockey putting up a 0.905.  Both Leafs goaltenders were better with 0.924 and 0.915.  Have fun with him Winnipeg. RIGHT
  • Smith will not be top 12 in save percentage for goalies playing greater to or equal 25 GP
  • Smith was 18th with a 0.910.  RIGHT

  • So this past season I did great going 9/10 and my only incorrect prediction was by not going bold enough. 

    Lets make 'em up for this year

    1. Grabovski will outscore Bozak in at least one of points or goals (likely both).  To protect this stat from injury screwing it up if one or both player plays less than 70 GP we'll look at GPG and PPG
    2. Both Bernier and Reimer will put up at least okay numbers with save percentages above 0.912
    3. Couturier will outscore Schenn in points and/or goals (at least one).
    4. Gaborik will outscore Nash in points and/or goals (at least one).
    5. Jets fans will continue to like Pavelec even though he is mediocre at best.  But for a real prediction, he will be outside the top 20 in save percentage for goalies in the top 40 by GP
    6. Dubnyk will be in the top 20 in save percentage for goalies in the top 40 by GP, but people will be blaming him for any of Edmonton's woes.
    7. The Jets will not make the playoffs.
    8. Enroth (similar to Dubnyk) will quietly put up at least a league average save percentage (0,912), but everyone will be convinced Buffalo is screwed if/when Miller is moved.
    9. Semin will outscore Perry by points and/or goals (at least one).
    10. Both Duchene and Ryan O'Reilly will outscore Landeskog in points this year.
    Note for #'s 6 and 8 the prediction is just the save percentage...

    Drop the puck!

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