Thursday 5 October 2017

2017-2018 Predictions

My predictions for this year.

First off 10 random predictions. We'll check back to see how I did last year later.

  1. JVR will have more goals and points than Marleau (void if there is a greater than 10% difference in GP)
  2. Carey Price will be below 3rd in Sv%, GAA, and wins, but still be at least a finalist for vezina
  3. Tavares will be below 10th in the league in scoring
  4. Nylander will have more points than Marner (void if there is a greater than 10% difference in GP)
  5. Dallas will win their division
  6. Holtby will be top 5 in at least 2/3 of Sv%, GAA, and wins and people will still say he is the problem in Washington (note the second half can't be quantified and isn't actually part of the prediction)
  7. Lucic will have less than 25 goals and 50 points. People will still say he is essential to Edmonton's success. (note the second half can't be quantified and isn't actually part of the prediction)
  8. Nicklas Backstrom will again be top 5 in points, he will get no significant Hart consideration (note the second half can't be quantified and isn't actually part of the prediction).
  9. Ehlers will crack 70 points, but everyone will only talk about Scheifele and Laine (note the second half can't be quantified and isn't actually part of the prediction).
  10. Pacioretti will get 30+ goal for the nth season in a row, people will still blame him for the habs failings (note the second half can't be quantified and isn't actually part of the prediction).
Regular season predictions

BOLD UNDERLINED IN PLAYOFFS
Atlantic
  1. Lightning
  2. Leafs
  3. Panthers
  4. Senators
  5. Canadiens
  6. Bruins
  7. Sabres
  8. Red Wings
Metropolitan
  1. Capitals
  2. Blue Jackets
  3. Penguins
  4. Flyers
  5. Rangers
  6. Hurricaines
  7. Islanders
  8. Devils
Pacific
  1. Oilers
  2. Ducks
  3. Flames
  4. Sharks
  5. Kings
  6. Coyotes
  7. Canucks
Central
  1. Stars
  2. Predators
  3. Wild
  4. Blackhawks
  5. Blues
  6. Jets
  7. Golden Knights
  8. Avalanche
Playoffs

Round 1
Capitals over Rangers
Lightning over Flyers
Leafs over Panthers
Penguins over Blue Jackets
Stars over Blues
Blackhawks over Oilers
Flames over Ducks
Predators over Wild

Round 2
Capitals over Penguins (they finally do it)
Lightning over Leafs
Stars over Predators
Blackhawks over Flames

Round 3
Capitals over Lightning
Stars over Blackhawks

Stanley Cup
Stars over Capitals

Sorry its one day late

Wednesday 12 October 2016

2016-2017 Standing Predictions

Atlantic

Tampa Bay
Florida
Montreal
-----------
Detroit
Toronto
Boston
Ottawa
Buffalo

Metropolitan
Washington
Pittsburgh
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
Philadelphia
---------------
New Jersey
Carolina
Columbus

Round 1
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Florida over Montreal
Washington over Rangers
Pittsburgh over Islanders

Round 2
Tampa over Florida
Washington over Pittsburgh

Round 3
Tampa Bay over Washington

Pacific
LA
San Jose
Anaheim
---------
Phoenix
Calgary
Edmonton
Vancouver

Central
Dallas
St Louis
Chicago
Nashville
Winnipeg
----------
Colorado
Minnesota

Round 1
Nashville over LA
San Jose over Anaheim
Dallas over Winnipeg
St Louis over Chicago

Round 2
Nashville over San Jose
Dallas over St Louis

Round 3
Dallas over Nashville

Stanley Cup
Tampa Bay over Dallas

Tuesday 6 October 2015

Trophy Prediction 2015-2016

Hart
Winner: Crosby
Runner ups: Getzlaf, Seguin
Dark Horse: Giordano

Norris
Winner: Hedman
Runner ups: Giordano, Karlsson
Dark Horse: Shattenkirk

The Connor McDavid Calder
Winner: McDavid
Runner ups: Eichel, Domi
Dark Horse: Panarin

Selke
Winner: Kopitar
Runner ups: Toews, Bergeron
Dark Horse: R'OR

Art Ross
Winner: Crosby
Runner ups: Kessel, Seguin
Dark Horse: Backstrom

Vezina
Winner: Holtby
Runner ups: Price, Rask
Dark Horse: Schneider

2015-2016 Predictions

Eastern Conference

Atlantic
Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
--------------------------------------------
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins
Florida Panthers
Buffalo Sabers
Toronto Maple Leafs

Metropolitan
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals
New York Islanders
Columbus Blue Jackets
-----------------------------------------------
Philadelphia Flyers
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes

(Note I think the Leafs will be ahead of both NJD and Car FWIW)

Round 1
TB over CBJ
Mon over Det

Pitts over NYI
Wsh over NYR (finally)

Round 2
TB over Mon (again)

Wsh over Pitts

Round 3
Wsh over TB

Western Conference

Central
St Louis Blues
Chicago Blackhawks
Dallas Stars
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
---------------------------------------------------
Nashville Predators
Winnipeg Jets

Pacific
Anaheim Ducks
LA Kings
Calgary Flames
----------------------------------------------------
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
Arizona Coyotes

Round 1
Blues over Col
Dallas over Chi

Anaheim over Minni
LAK over Cgy

Round 2
Dallas over Blues
Ana over LAK

Round 3
Ana over Dallas

STANLEY CUP FINAL
Washington over Anaheim

10 Random Predictions 2015-2016

First off how did I do last year

1) Jonathan Quick is a good goalie, but an overrated one.  He will not be in the top 10 goaltenders by save percentage (for goaltenders with greater than 35 GP).
TRUE (19th)

2) Thornton will be within the top 30 in points (but remember San Jose's failure to succeed in the playoffs is all his fault).
TRUE (28th)

3) Halak will have a better save percentage than Miller
TRUE (Halak 0.914 and Miller 0.911)

4) Kadri will have more points than Bozak (but people will probably still think Bozak is better).
FALSE

5) Olli Jokinen will have more points than Schiefelle
FALSE (and not even close)

6) Letang will be top 5 in defensive scoring (points)
FALSE (but close, 7th)

7) Kessel will have more points and/or goals than P. Kane (but people will not consider Kessel at the same level as him)
FALSE (Kessel had a bad year)

8) Neither Sedin cracks 65 points.
FALSE (they both did)

9) Shattenkirk will have more points than Pietrangelo
FALSE (but he had 2 less points in 25 less games...)

10) JVR will out score Lucic in goals and points.
TRUE (fun fact Ericksson outscored Lucic)

4/10... Not so good.


On to 2015/2016 predictions

1) At least one of Boyes/PA Parenteau/Matthias (whose combined salary is less than Beleksey and all signed for one year) will out score Beleksey in pts and Gs.

2) Kessel will outscore Voracek and Tarasenko, but remember he had an untradeable contract and there new contracts are good contracts (in total points, only eligible if they all play over 70 GP)

3) Kessel will crack 50 G and/or 90 points.  At least one.

4) At least one of Cam Talbot or Lehner will have lower than a 0.910 save percentage and a losing record.

5) Kadri will crack 60 points (not eligible if he plays less than 70 GP)

6) Gardiner and Rielly will both crack 30 points (not eligible if he plays less than 70 GP)

7) Lack will have a better save % than Miller

8) Bonino will outscore Suter in both goals and points

9) Hornqvist will eclipse 25 goals and 65 points but no one will notice because everyone else on the team (obviously I can only prove the first part of this statement)

10) Datsyuk will play less than 65 GP, but in the games he plays he will end up in top 20 for PPG (for players with more than 30 GP)

11) BONUS AHL one- Nylander will have the highest AHL PPG of any player under 24 and with more than 30 GP

Enjoy the year! Go Leafs Go!

Wednesday 8 October 2014

Trophy Predictions

My thoughts on potential trophy winners before the season.  I choose a winner, two guys who I also think have a good shot (labelled as runner ups) or who could be runner ups, and one "Dark Horse" candidate.

Hart trophy
Most likely- Crosby
Runner ups- Kopitar, Doughty
Dark Horse- Corey Schneider

Norris
Most Likely-Doughty
Runner ups-Keith, Pietrangelo
Dark Horse- Brodin (kidding he won't get the credit he deserves. Hedman)

Vezina
Most Likely- Rask
Runner ups- Lundqvist, Rinne
Dark Horse- Lehtonen

Selke
Most Likely-Datsyuk
Runner ups-Bergeron, Kopitar
Dark Horse- Couturier

Art Ross
Most LIkely-Crosby
Runner ups-Stamkos, Malkin
Dark Horse-Taylor Hall (is this a dark horse?  Not really, but people still act like he isn't that good, for some odd, odd reason).

Cheers

Tuesday 7 October 2014

10 Random Predictions 2014-2015

1) Jonathan Quick is a good goalie, but an overrated one.  He will not be in the top 10 goaltenders by save percentage (for goaltenders with greater than 35 GP).

2) Thornton will be within the top 30 in points (but remember San Jose's failure to succeed in the playoffs is all his fault).

3) Halak will have a better save percentage than Miller

4) Kadri will have more points than Bozak (but people will probably still think Bozak is better).

5) Olli Jokinen will have more points than Schiefelle

6) Letang will be top 5 in defensive scoring (points)

7) Kessel will have more points and/or goals than P. Kane (but people will not consider Kessel at the same level as him)

8) Neither Sedin cracks 65 points.

9) Shattenkirk will have more points than Pietrangelo

10) JVR will out score Lucic in goals and points.


I don't have time to review last years right now, but I will do so later.

DROP THE PUCK